How much revenue did Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge make?

Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge sell?

Q: How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge sell?

84k to 136k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 84k–136k; from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.9M

best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)

Games like Warhammer 40,000: Warpforge

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–2.9M copies

≈ $4.6M–$34.9M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 32k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + RTS + Real Time Tactics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Warhammer The Horus Heresy: Legions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 95k–154k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mixed	DeckbuildingCard Game
Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.3M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
Total War: WARHAMMER 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	52k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyFantasy
Total War: WARHAMMER III 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	150k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Age of History II 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$5.99	50k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
FPS Chess 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	44k reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
ShellShock Live 2020	Est. copies ≈ 883k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	36k reviews Very Positive	TanksMultiplayer