How much revenue did Ogu and the Secret Forest make?

$356k–$957k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ogu and the Secret Forest sell?

Q: How many copies did Ogu and the Secret Forest sell?

52k to 84k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 52k–84k; $356k–$957k after Steam's cut $647k–$1.5M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ogu and the Secret Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ogu and the Secret Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.8M

best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)

Games like Ogu and the Secret Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.8M copies

≈ $21.1M–$31.4M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 18k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Third Person, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Open World + Third Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	89k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Chants of Sennaar 2023	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Atomic Heart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Mirror's Edge™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureParkour
We Were Here 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	33k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCo-op
UNCHARTED™: Legacy of Thieves Collection 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	44k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction-Adventure