How much revenue did Smokyflex make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Smokyflex sell?

Q: How many copies did Smokyflex sell?

471 to 766 copies, based on its 19 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 471–766; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut; from 19 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Smokyflex and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Smokyflex's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 928–1k

best case 11k (KUNKUN Defender 2)

Games like Smokyflex

A typical game among these

≈ 928–1k copies

≈ $519–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~31 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: KUNKUN Defender 2 at ≈ 9k–14k copies, ≈ $12k–$31k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 73 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 263.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Arcade (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Rogue-lite; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
GUNFIELD 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$4.99	269 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Motordoom 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–7k 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $17k–$47k after Steam's cut $32k–$72k before Steam's cut	$13.99	182 reviews Very Positive	SkateboardingBMX
Super Psycho Baseball 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut	$4.99	249 reviews Very Positive	SportsBaseball
KUNKUN Defender 2 2025	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k 11x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$4.99	343 reviews Very Positive	ActionHorror
Meekanoid 2022	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $353–$949 after Steam's cut $642–$1k before Steam's cut	$1.99	26 reviews Mixed	ActionCasual
RoboDunk 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$40k before Steam's cut	$14.99	95 reviews Very Positive	SportsArcade
Racing Outlaws 2022	Est. copies ≈ 769–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $210–$563 after Steam's cut $381–$866 before Steam's cut	$0.99	31 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionRacing
Wild Rumble 2025	Est. copies ≈ 868–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut	$14.99	35 reviews Positive	Rogue-likeAction