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How many copies did 100 hidden turtles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 487 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 100 hidden turtles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 100 hidden turtles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 266k–559k
best case 627k (A Little to the Left)
Games like 100 hidden turtles

A typical game among these

≈ 266k–559k copies

≈ $392k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 579 reviews in their first month; the range was 391 to 807.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Point & Click (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Tiny Bang Story
2011
Est. copies
≈ 420k–683k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
A Building Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–182k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$92k–$248k after Steam's cut $167k–$381k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
Hidden Folks
2017
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
Rusty Lake: Roots
2016
Est. copies
≈ 384k–624k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$3.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Rusty Lake Paradise
2018
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$687k after Steam's cut $465k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$3.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
A Castle Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$511k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
Rusty Lake Hotel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$242k–$651k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$1.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click

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