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How many copies did Thrae sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$980–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Thrae and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thrae's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 129k–343k
best case 586k (Shop Titans)
Games like Thrae

A typical game among these

≈ 129k–343k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shop Titans at ≈ 446k–725k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cozy (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Shop Keeper.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hello Kitty Island Adventure
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Est. copies
≈ 311k–505k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
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CozyOpen World
Wylde Flowers
2022
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≈ 69k–112k
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I Am Future: Cozy Apocalypse Survival
2024
Est. copies
≈ 116k–189k
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Est. revenue
$640k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
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CasualSingleplayer
Potion Permit
2022
Est. copies
≈ 136k–220k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$745k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
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SingleplayerColorful
Cozy Grove
2021
Est. copies
≈ 211k–343k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$870k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
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RelaxingCute
Making it Home
2021
Est. copies
≈ 992–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$9.99
40 reviews
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BuildingSandbox
Shop Titans
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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IdlerShop Keeper
Wanderstop
2025
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$554k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Very Positive
AdventureSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.