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How many copies did Wilmot Works It Out sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$355k before Steam's cut
from 839 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wilmot Works It Out and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wilmot Works It Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 536k–1.1M
best case 1.4M (Firework)
Games like Wilmot Works It Out

A typical game among these

≈ 536k–1.1M copies

≈ $3.6M–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Firework at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 579 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Point & Click (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Horror + Drama + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Machinarium
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickPuzzle
Cube Escape: Paradox
2018
Est. copies
≈ 373k–606k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleFree to Play
Gorogoa
2017
Est. copies
≈ 717k–1.2M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleHand-drawn
Samsara Room
2020
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 930k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 443k–720k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG

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