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How many copies did Mech Shuffle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mech Shuffle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mech Shuffle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 822–32k
best case 144k (StarVaders)
Games like Mech Shuffle

A typical game among these

≈ 822–32k copies

≈ $2k–$180k after Steam's cut

from ~80 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: StarVaders at ≈ 109k–178k copies, ≈ $751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mainframe Defenders
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$33k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before Steam's cut
$5.99
796 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationTactical RPG
Tactics Greed
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$9.99
29 reviews
Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
ARC SEED
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$14.99
99 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessStrategy
StarVaders
2025
Est. copies
≈ 109k–178k
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cosmos Invictus
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
61 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayStrategy
Ironclad Tactics
2013
Est. copies
≈ 40k–64k
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$163k–$438k after Steam's cut $297k–$675k before Steam's cut
$14.99
626 reviews
Mixed
DeckbuildingCard Battler
Command Line Pilot
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before Steam's cut
$1.99
14 reviews
Positive
Turn-Based TacticsCard Game
Master of Puppets
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$327–$880 after Steam's cut $595–$1k before Steam's cut
$7.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Turn-Based StrategyDeckbuilding

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.