How much revenue did Akai Katana Shin make?

$22k–$60k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Akai Katana Shin sell?

Q: How many copies did Akai Katana Shin sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 110 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before Steam's cut; from 110 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Akai Katana Shin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Akai Katana Shin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–17k

best case 1.8M (FlatOut 2)

Games like Akai Katana Shin

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–17k copies

≈ $8k–$155k after Steam's cut

from ~154 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: FlatOut 2 at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 459.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (4 of 8) and Bowling (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Combat Racing, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Destruction + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm
ImpossiBowl 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	78 reviews Very Positive	BowlingPrecision Platformer
FlatOut 2 2006	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 144x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$16.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingCombat Racing
Salamander County Public Television 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut	$9.99	290 reviews Very Positive	ActionArcade
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k 11x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$747k before Steam's cut	$7.99	2k reviews Very Positive	MemesPixel Graphics
All-In-One Sports VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut	$19.99	771 reviews Very Positive	VRSimulation
HyperBowl 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $637–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$0.99	77 reviews Very Positive	CasualSports
Sparedevil 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut	$11.99	154 reviews Very Positive	FPSAction