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How many copies did Loadout sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Loadout and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Loadout's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–23.1M
best case 37.9M (HELLDIVERS™ 2)
Games like Loadout

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–23.1M copies

≈ $15.9M–$402.1M after Steam's cut

from ~280k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HELLDIVERS™ 2 at ≈ 28.9M–46.9M copies, ≈ $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Shooter, priced around $40.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MADNESS: Project Nexus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreBeat 'em up
Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
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Open WorldStory Rich
Ready or Not
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–14.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
347k reviews
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TacticalRealistic
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Sniper Elite 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 765k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.3M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSniper
World War Z
2021
Est. copies
≈ 815k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.1M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
For another day
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$244–$660 after Steam's cut $444–$1k before Steam's cut
$11.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ExplorationChoose Your Own Adventure

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