How much revenue did Shatter make?

$46k–$125k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Shatter sell?

Q: How many copies did Shatter sell?

85k to 138k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 85k–138k; $46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shatter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shatter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 692k–1.4M

best case 2.0M (SpeedRunners)

Games like Shatter

A typical game among these

≈ 692k–1.4M copies

≈ $5.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SpeedRunners at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (4 of 8) and Fast-Paced (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Competitive, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Platformer + Competitive + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Need For Speed: Hot Pursuit 2010	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	20k reviews Very Positive	RacingCombat Racing
Sonic & All-Stars Racing Transformed Collection 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	RacingLocal Multiplayer
Lethal League Blaze 2018	Est. copies ≈ 204k–331k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionIndie
Pixel Strike 3D 2020	Est. copies ≈ 310k–503k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
BATTALION: Legacy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 469k–763k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Mixed	FPSArena Shooter
Move or Die 2016	Est. copies ≈ 970k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
AudioSurf 2008	Est. copies ≈ 702k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MusicRhythm
SpeedRunners 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRacing