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How many copies did Guns of Icarus Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 927k–1.5M
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
from 15k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guns of Icarus Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guns of Icarus Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 21k–241k
best case 472k (Steam Link)
Games like Guns of Icarus Online

A typical game among these

≈ 21k–241k copies

≈ $94k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Steam Link at ≈ 360k–584k copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and Hand-drawn (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Steam Machine + Software.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Airmen
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$14.99
361 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIndie
Steam Link
2015
Est. copies
≈ 360k–584k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Steam MachineSoftware
We Need To Go Deeper
2019
Est. copies
≈ 174k–283k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$766k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$15.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Co-op2D
THE DAY Online
2018
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
552 reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayMOBA
Guns of Icarus Alliance
2017
Est. copies
≈ 50k–80k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$68k–$183k after Steam's cut $124k–$281k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAction
Sker Ritual
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149k–242k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$820k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichMultiplayer
AETHERIS
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$178k before Steam's cut
$24.99
252 reviews
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AdventureCo-op
Prime World
2014
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayMOBA

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.