How much revenue did Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun sell?

Q: How many copies did Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun sell?

496 to 806 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 496–806; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–4.2M

best case 3.4M (Gunfire Reborn)

Games like Ninja or Die: Shadow of the Sun

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–4.2M copies

≈ $23.1M–$38.5M after Steam's cut

from ~83k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Hack and Slash (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Gunfire Reborn at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 63k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Hack and Slash (3 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-lite + FPS, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
3dSen PC 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$14.99	559 reviews Very Positive	PlatformerAdventure
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
Shadowlings 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	98 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction Roguelike
Bloodlines of Prima 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	78 reviews Mixed	ActionFree to Play
Katana ZERO 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.3M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsAction
Super House of Dead Ninjas 2013	Est. copies ≈ 109k–177k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeAction
Ghostrunner 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	ActionCyberpunk
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackHack and Slash