How much revenue did Analogue: A Hate Story make?

$400k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Analogue: A Hate Story sell?

Q: How many copies did Analogue: A Hate Story sell?

145k to 236k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 145k–236k; $400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Analogue: A Hate Story and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Analogue: A Hate Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 427k–878k

best case 1.2M (Senren＊Banka)

Games like Analogue: A Hate Story

A typical game among these

≈ 427k–878k copies

≈ $2.6M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Senren＊Banka at ≈ 923k–1.5M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + NSFW, priced around $35.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
AI: The Somnium Files 2019	Est. copies ≈ 272k–442k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
STEINS;GATE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 923k–1.5M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW
STEINS;GATE 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 259k–421k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$34.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
NEKOPARA Vol. 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 414k–672k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiSexual Content
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For- 2016	Est. copies ≈ 343k–558k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime