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How many copies did Republic of Pirates sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$383k before Steam's cut
from 544 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Republic of Pirates and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Republic of Pirates's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 920–1.8M
best case 6.9M (Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition)
Games like Republic of Pirates

A typical game among these

≈ 920–1.8M copies

≈ $33k–$33.1M after Steam's cut

from ~511 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 20.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (7 of 8) and RTS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + City Builder, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
202x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Commander: Conquest of the Americas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$9.99
190 reviews
Mixed
RTSAlternate History
Tropico Reloaded
2009
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$121k–$325k after Steam's cut $220k–$499k before Steam's cut
$6.99
994 reviews
Very Positive
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
358x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Survival Revelation: End of Days
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
$5.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionSimulation
SugarWinds: Prologue
2022
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23 reviews
Mixed
Buoyancy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$85k–$230k after Steam's cut $155k–$354k before Steam's cut
$12.99
831 reviews
Mixed
Colony SimStrategy
Path to Prosperity
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$14.99
30 reviews
Positive
Early AccessStrategy

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