How much revenue did What the Fog make?

$81k–$219k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did What the Fog sell?

Q: How many copies did What the Fog sell?

59k to 96k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 59k–96k; $81k–$219k after Steam's cut $148k–$336k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid What the Fog and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including What the Fog's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 883k–5.5M

best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)

Games like What the Fog

A typical game among these

≈ 883k–5.5M copies

≈ $7.5M–$47.3M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 37k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 103k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	353k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 2014	Est. copies ≈ 25.8M–41.9M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	460k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Risk of Rain (2013) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.2M–$13.9M after Steam's cut $9.4M–$21.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	30k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Streets of Rogue 2019	Est. copies ≈ 665k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Hero Siege 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut	$7.99	48k reviews Mixed	Action RPGPixel Graphics
PlateUp! 2022	Est. copies ≈ 675k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Management
Roboquest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 608k–989k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction Roguelike