How much revenue did Guacamelee! Gold Edition make?

$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Guacamelee! Gold Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did Guacamelee! Gold Edition sell?

380k to 618k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 380k–618k; $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.5M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guacamelee! Gold Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guacamelee! Gold Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–5.4M

best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)

Games like Guacamelee! Gold Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–5.4M copies

≈ $27.7M–$63.0M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Blasphemous 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	68k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Ori and the Will of the Wisps 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulMetroidvania
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
Ori and the Blind Forest 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric