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How many copies did Decent Checkers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$312–$839 after Steam's cut $567–$1k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Decent Checkers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Decent Checkers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–13k
best case 35k (GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena)
Games like Decent Checkers

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–13k copies

≈ $4k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~182 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena at ≈ 26k–43k copies, ≈ $109k–$293k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 167.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Competitive (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Artificial Intelligence + Competitive, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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