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How many copies did Rocketbirds: Hardboiled Chicken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 199k–324k
$274k–$736k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rocketbirds: Hardboiled Chicken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rocketbirds: Hardboiled Chicken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 488k–1.1M
best case 3.9M (Broforce)
Games like Rocketbirds: Hardboiled Chicken

A typical game among these

≈ 488k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.8M–$8.6M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Broforce at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with America + Co-op, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Super Crate Box
2012
Est. copies
≈ 407k–662k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Guns, Gore and Cannoli 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 170k–276k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$606k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSide Scroller
METAL SLUG 3
2014
Est. copies
≈ 514k–836k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$7.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeClassic
Boring Man - Online Tactical Stickman Combat
2015
Est. copies
≈ 264k–430k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
BRAIN / OUT
2017
Est. copies
≈ 524k–851k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Very Positive
Free to Play2D
The Expendabros
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.