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How many copies did Zeno Clash 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–148k
$375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $683k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zeno Clash 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zeno Clash 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–29k
best case 268k (Zeno Clash)
Games like Zeno Clash 2

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–29k copies

≈ $33k–$155k after Steam's cut

from ~473 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Zeno Clash at ≈ 204k–332k copies, ≈ $562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 61 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 267.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (5 of 8) and 3D Fighter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Beat 'em up, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before Steam's cut
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RacingAction
Broken Edge
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≈ 17k–27k
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$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$285k before Steam's cut
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VRPvP
Magical Battle Festa
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≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $107k–$244k before Steam's cut
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Hack and Slash3D Fighter
ZONERS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$491–$1k after Steam's cut $893–$2k before Steam's cut
$11.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Early AccessParty
Uranus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$599–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
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22 reviews
Positive
FightingExperimental
Zombie Training Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$532k before Steam's cut
$19.99
562 reviews
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ActionVR
Zeno Clash
2009
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
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Very Positive
ActionSurreal
Treadnauts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$14.99
186 reviews
Very Positive
PhysicsTanks

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