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How many copies did Granblue Fantasy Versus: Rising sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 176k–286k
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Granblue Fantasy Versus: Rising and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Granblue Fantasy Versus: Rising's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–2.8M
best case 4.3M (TEKKEN 7)
Games like Granblue Fantasy Versus: Rising

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–2.8M copies

≈ $17.6M–$46.9M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: TEKKEN 7 at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Competitive, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
Injustice: Gods Among Us Ultimate Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.8M after Steam's cut $12.7M–$29.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
FightingSuperhero
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Ultra Street Fighter® IV
2014
Est. copies
≈ 955k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
FightingArcade
Skullgirls 2nd Encore
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter

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