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How many copies did Ultra Street Fighter® IV sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 955k–1.6M
$7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ultra Street Fighter® IV and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultra Street Fighter® IV's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–4.2M
best case 4.4M (Mortal Kombat 11)
Games like Ultra Street Fighter® IV

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–4.2M copies

≈ $37.5M–$70.0M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mortal Kombat 11 at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Gore, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Skullgirls 2nd Encore
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.1M–$37.8M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$58.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
Mortal Kombat X
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
TEKKEN 8
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.4M after Steam's cut $36.1M–$82.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
73k reviews
Mixed
Fighting3D Fighter
Mortal Kombat 11
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
Rivals of Aether
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting

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