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How many copies did Blades of Jianghu: Ballad of Wind and Dust sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
from 492 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blades of Jianghu: Ballad of Wind and Dust and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blades of Jianghu: Ballad of Wind and Dust's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 71k–177k
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Blades of Jianghu: Ballad of Wind and Dust

A typical game among these

≈ 71k–177k copies

≈ $559k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Anime (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Story Rich + Turn-Based Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Disgaea 5 Complete
2018
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
巅峰骑士团
2019
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight
2024
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$683k before Steam's cut
$16.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentHentai
Persona 3 Portable
2023
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Banner of the Maid
2019
Est. copies
≈ 241k–391k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Yarimono
2024
Est. copies
≈ 104k–170k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$718k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentHentai

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