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How many copies did The Rings of Powder sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 47 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Rings of Powder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Rings of Powder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.4M
best case 4.6M (Crusader Kings III)
Games like The Rings of Powder

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.4M copies

≈ $17.6M–$59.0M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings III at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 22k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (5 of 8) and RTS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
143k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
We Are The Caretakers
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$19.99
36 reviews
Mostly Positive
Turn-Based CombatGrand Strategy
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.2M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$31.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Structura
2021
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$55–$146 after Steam's cut $100–$224 before Steam's cut
$7.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
StrategyRTS

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