How much revenue did Lucky Island make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lucky Island sell?

Q: How many copies did Lucky Island sell?

397 to 645 copies, based on its 16 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 397–645; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 16 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lucky Island and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lucky Island's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–21k

best case 5.4M (Oxygen Not Included)

Games like Lucky Island

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–21k copies

≈ $15k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~163 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Oxygen Not Included at ≈ 4.1M–6.7M copies, ≈ $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 94 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 719.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share City Builder (5 of 8) and Resource Management (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + 2D + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Terracards 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $47k–$125k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut	$8.99	760 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessStrategy
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 884x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Cardboard Town 2023	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $317k–$853k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	BuildingCity Builder
Kingdom's Deck 2025	Est. copies ≈ 13k–22k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut	$9.99	544 reviews Mostly Positive	City BuilderBase-Building
Lucky Farm 2024	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$2.99	32 reviews Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Deckbuilding
Neongarten 2025	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$9.99	76 reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Toads of the Bayou 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut	$9.99	163 reviews Mostly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderTurn-Based Combat
Tiny Kingdom 2025	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$10.99	154 reviews Mostly Positive	City Builder Roguelike Deckbuilder