How much revenue did ShovelBear make?

$41–$110 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ShovelBear sell?

Q: How many copies did ShovelBear sell?

74 to 121 copies, based on its 3 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 74–121; $41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut; from 3 reviews (3 user reviews); Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ShovelBear and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ShovelBear's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k

best case 7k (Decline's Drops)

Games like ShovelBear

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $6k–$31k after Steam's cut

from ~111 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Decline's Drops at ≈ 6k–9k copies, ≈ $24k–$63k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 108.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Fighter (6 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Beat 'em up, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Santhai 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut	$12.99	139 reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
Decline's Drops 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $24k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before Steam's cut	$14.99	230 reviews Very Positive	2D PlatformerBeat 'em up
Blade Jumper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$6.99	57 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePlatformer
Galactic Thunderdome 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut	$9.99	59 reviews Very Positive	Action2D Fighter
Domiverse 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	83 reviews Very Positive	ActionLocal Multiplayer
Sword of Destiny 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$0.99	149 reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Happenlance 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut	$19.99	49 reviews Positive	PhysicsDifficult
You are Peter Shorts 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $21k–$58k after Steam's cut $39k–$89k before Steam's cut	$14.99	210 reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaBeat 'em up