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How many copies did Potion Brew: Co-op sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 68 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Potion Brew: Co-op and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Potion Brew: Co-op's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 209k–399k
best case 18.3M (Valheim)
Games like Potion Brew: Co-op

A typical game among these

≈ 209k–399k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fishing (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 599 to 558k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fishing (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Survival + Building + Base-Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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61x vs typical
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AdventureFarming Sim
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3.2x vs typical
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.