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How many copies did Vaudeville sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–14k
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$190k before Steam's cut
from 337 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vaudeville and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vaudeville's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 258k–481k
best case 481k (KinitoPET)
Games like Vaudeville

A typical game among these

≈ 258k–481k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Detective (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: KinitoPET at ≈ 367k–596k copies, ≈ $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 239 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 812.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Horror, priced around $6.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Early AccessDetective
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$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
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Citizen Sleeper
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≈ 196k–319k
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DetectivePoint & Click
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Choices MatterStory Rich
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Visual NovelCyberpunk

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