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How many copies did Verbal Verdict sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$613–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Verbal Verdict and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Verbal Verdict's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 15k–137k
best case 193k (The Test: Hypothesis Rising)
Games like Verbal Verdict

A typical game among these

≈ 15k–137k copies

≈ $53k–$495k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test: Hypothesis Rising at ≈ 147k–239k copies, ≈ $80k–$216k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 282 reviews in their first month; the range was 32 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Artificial Intelligence (5 of 8) and Detective (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Multiple Endings, priced around $2.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SimulationMultiple Endings

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