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How many copies did 无梦少女 DreamlessGirl sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
from 90 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 无梦少女 DreamlessGirl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 无梦少女 DreamlessGirl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 116k–239k
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like 无梦少女 DreamlessGirl

A typical game among these

≈ 116k–239k copies

≈ $688k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 820 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (7 of 8) and Bullet Hell (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Hack and Slash, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + Great Soundtrack + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $798k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAnime
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 85k–137k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellGreat Soundtrack
TEVI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 101k–164k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime
Dragonia
2017
Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
NieR Replicant™ ver.1.22474487139...
2021
Est. copies
≈ 707k–1.1M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Marfusha:Sentinel Girls
2021
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$175k–$472k after Steam's cut $319k–$726k before Steam's cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction Roguelike

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