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How big is Senpai Puzzle: Waifu Summer?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 3k–5k
from 129 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Senpai Puzzle: Waifu Summer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Senpai Puzzle: Waifu Summer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 44k–108k
best case 301k (Storyteller)
Games like Senpai Puzzle: Waifu Summer

A typical game among these

≈ 44k–108k copies

≈ $166k–$373k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Storyteller at ≈ 229k–372k copies, ≈ $944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 204 reviews in their first month; the range was 47 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Sexual Content (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Interactive Fiction, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Storyteller
2023
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$944k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Mosaique Neko Waifus 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 70k–114k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$96k–$259k after Steam's cut $175k–$399k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HentaiSexual Content
Mosaique Neko Waifus 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 118k–191k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$161k–$434k after Steam's cut $293k–$668k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HentaiNudity
Leisure Suit Larry - Wet Dreams Dry Twice
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$235k–$633k after Steam's cut $428k–$973k before Steam's cut
$34.99
986 reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
Mosaique Neko Waifus 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$70k–$189k after Steam's cut $128k–$290k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
HentaiPuzzle
Arcadia Fallen
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$101k–$271k after Steam's cut $183k–$417k before Steam's cut
$24.99
591 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureVisual Novel
Mosaique Neko Waifus 5
2022
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$60k–$162k after Steam's cut $109k–$249k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
CasualHentai
彷徨之街 The Street of Adrift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$191k–$514k after Steam's cut $348k–$791k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Female ProtagonistStory Rich

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