How much revenue did Dawnfolk make?

$75k–$201k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dawnfolk sell?

Q: How many copies did Dawnfolk sell?

18k to 29k copies, based on its 731 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 18k–29k; $75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut; from 731 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dawnfolk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawnfolk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 70k–106k

best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)

Games like Dawnfolk

A typical game among these

≈ 70k–106k copies

≈ $353k–$737k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 279 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-lite (6 of 8) and City Builder (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Building + Base-Building + Colony Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ratropolis 2020	Est. copies ≈ 137k–223k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $680k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Very Positive	2DDeckbuilding
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
The Lost Village 2024	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $257k–$692k after Steam's cut $468k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$11.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Base-BuildingResource Management
dotAGE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 67k–108k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $322k–$866k after Steam's cut $585k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$17.59	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Resource ManagementTurn-Based
Drill Core 2025	Est. copies ≈ 61k–100k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $338k–$909k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessStrategy
Isle of Arrows 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28k–45k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $98k–$264k after Steam's cut $179k–$406k before Steam's cut	$12.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Tower Defense Rogue-like
Gnomes 2025	Est. copies ≈ 46k–74k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $126k–$338k after Steam's cut $229k–$520k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tower DefenseTurn-Based
Nordhold 2025	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $462k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $839k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite Tower Defense