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How many copies did Nordhold sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 84k–136k
$462k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $839k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nordhold and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nordhold's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–61k
best case 81k (Drill Core)
Games like Nordhold

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–61k copies

≈ $219k–$364k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Drill Core at ≈ 61k–100k copies, ≈ $338k–$909k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 480 reviews in their first month; the range was 279 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Rogue-lite (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Rogue-lite, priced around $20.
When they shipped
7 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Drill Core
2025
Est. copies
≈ 61k–100k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$338k–$909k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Gnomes
2025
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$126k–$338k after Steam's cut $229k–$520k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseTurn-Based
Tower Factory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$532k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAutomation
Deck of Haunts
2025
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $360k–$819k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Dream Engines: Nomad Cities
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$128k–$343k after Steam's cut $232k–$528k before Steam's cut
$29.99
624 reviews
Mostly Positive
Isle of Arrows
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$98k–$264k after Steam's cut $179k–$406k before Steam's cut
$12.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Border Pioneer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$197k–$529k after Steam's cut $358k–$814k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Hexguardian
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$58k–$155k after Steam's cut $105k–$238k before Steam's cut
$11.99
705 reviews
Mostly Positive
Tower DefenseCartoony

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.