How much revenue did Downward Spear make?

$1k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Downward Spear sell?

Q: How many copies did Downward Spear sell?

322 to 524 copies, based on its 13 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 322–524; $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Downward Spear and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Downward Spear's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–12k

best case 119k (Dwarven Realms)

Games like Downward Spear

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–12k copies

≈ $8k–$125k after Steam's cut

from ~79 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Dwarven Realms at ≈ 91k–147k copies, ≈ $249k–$669k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 43 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 2k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (8 of 8) and Hack and Slash (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $10.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rise of a Legend 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$17.99	49 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAction
Magicians And Monsters 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$5.99	72 reviews Mixed	ActionRPG
Bioweaver 2024	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut	$6.99	696 reviews Mostly Positive	ProgrammingTactical RPG
Mounted War 2024	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut	$2.99	13 reviews Mixed	ActionMedieval
Heroes of Eldemor 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	85 reviews Mostly Positive	MultiplayerMedieval
FAIRY TAIL 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut	$59.99	251 reviews Mixed	Spectacle fighterTactical RPG
AbsentedAge: Squarebound 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$12.99	67 reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeAction RPG
Dwarven Realms 2024	Est. copies ≈ 91k–147k 46x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $249k–$669k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash