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How many copies did Mounted War sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$265–$713 after Steam's cut $481–$1k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mounted War and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mounted War's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–6.5M
best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)
Games like Mounted War

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–6.5M copies

≈ $33.7M–$66.7M after Steam's cut

from ~94k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Medieval (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 52k reviews in their first month; the range was 44k to 200k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Medieval (4 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Chivalry: Medieval Warfare
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$28.2M–$75.9M after Steam's cut $51.3M–$116.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalMultiplayer
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
154k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Blade and Sorcery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
62k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSwordplay

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