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How many copies did Broken Age sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 461k–750k
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Broken Age and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Broken Age's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.4M–19.3M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Broken Age

A typical game among these

≈ 5.4M–19.3M copies

≈ $62.7M–$84.9M after Steam's cut

from ~100k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Comedy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Yakuza 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAction
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
South Park™: The Stick of Truth™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.0M–$91.4M after Steam's cut $61.8M–$140.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
74k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGComedy
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Everlasting Summer
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut $41.6M–$94.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
100k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Salamander County Public Television
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$9.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade

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