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How many copies did Sudeki sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 62k–100k
$101k–$273k after Steam's cut $184k–$420k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sudeki and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sudeki's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.9M
best case 9.1M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)
Games like Sudeki

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–1.9M copies

≈ $22.9M–$29.8M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Lore-Rich + Turn-Based Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
FINAL FANTASY XV WINDOWS EDITION
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$17.0M–$45.8M after Steam's cut $31.0M–$70.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Granblue Fantasy: Relink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
279k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
Tales of ARISE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
FINAL FANTASY VII REMAKE INTERGRADE
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
53k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAction RPG
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
ASTLIBRA Revision
2022
Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPG2D

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