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How many copies did Violations Will Be Punished sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
from 48 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Violations Will Be Punished and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Violations Will Be Punished's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.5M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Violations Will Be Punished

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–1.5M copies

≈ $12.0M–$26.6M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + CRPG + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
XCOM® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Wandering Sword
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG

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