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wishvane

How many copies did Transistor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before the cut
from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Transistor out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Transistor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–9.2M
best case 53.8M (Stardew Valley)
The Female Protagonist genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 5.8M–9.2M copies
≈ $34.6M–$80.8M after Steam's cut
from ~155k reviews
Best case
≈ 41.0M–66.6M copies
Stardew Valley · ≈ $169.0M–$454.3M after Steam's cut
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Female Protagonist (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.6M–33.5M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.4M–$304.8M after Steam's cut $206.1M–$468.9M before the cut
$19.99
678k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41.0M–66.6M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$169.0M–$454.3M after Steam's cut $307.2M–$698.9M before the cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
175k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Slime Rancher
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.6M before the cut
$19.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.8M after Steam's cut $43.8M–$99.6M before the cut
$19.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.0M–$233.9M after Steam's cut $158.2M–$359.9M before the cut
$44.99
204k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG

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