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How many copies did The Chef's Shift sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 52k–84k
$184k–$496k after Steam's cut $335k–$763k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Chef's Shift and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Chef's Shift's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 196k–445k
best case 1.1M (Touhou Mystia's Izakaya)
Games like The Chef's Shift

A typical game among these

≈ 196k–445k copies

≈ $565k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Mystia's Izakaya at ≈ 815k–1.3M copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 252 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cooking (7 of 8) and Management (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Time Management, priced around $6.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lemon Cake
2021
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$876k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual
Papa's Freezeria Deluxe
2023
Est. copies
≈ 331k–538k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$546k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $992k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingTime Management
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya
2021
Est. copies
≈ 815k–1.3M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Cook, Serve, Delicious!
2013
Est. copies
≈ 361k–587k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$12.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
IndieTime Management
Papa's Pizzeria Deluxe
2024
Est. copies
≈ 93k–150k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$152k–$410k after Steam's cut $277k–$631k before Steam's cut
$5.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingSimulation
Ravenous Devils
2022
Est. copies
≈ 246k–400k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$338k–$908k after Steam's cut $614k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$4.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementCooking
Good Pizza, Great Pizza - Cooking Simulator Game
2023
Est. copies
≈ 168k–274k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$463k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $841k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyManagement
Kebab Chefs! - Restaurant Simulator
2026
Est. copies
≈ 202k–327k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$997k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$17.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.