How much revenue did Topple Tactics make?

$106k–$286k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Topple Tactics sell?

Q: How many copies did Topple Tactics sell?

39k to 63k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 39k–63k; $106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$439k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Topple Tactics and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Topple Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 782k–4.6M

best case 15.2M (Fall Guys)

Games like Topple Tactics

A typical game among these

≈ 782k–4.6M copies

≈ $3.6M–$19.3M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 144k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Gang Beasts 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	68k reviews Very Positive	FunnyPhysics
Stumble Guys 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.6M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	139k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayBattle Royale
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Placid Plastic Duck Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 503k–817k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $275k–$740k after Steam's cut $500k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteRelaxing
Untitled Goose Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 627k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FunnyVillain Protagonist
Bopl Battle 2023	Est. copies ≈ 643k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Multiplayer4 Player Local
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration