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How many copies did CastleStorm sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 103k–168k
$284k–$762k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid CastleStorm and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CastleStorm's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 422k–1.2M
best case 773k (Thronefall)
Games like CastleStorm

A typical game among these

≈ 422k–1.2M copies

≈ $2.2M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Thronefall at ≈ 589k–957k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 16k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + City Builder, priced around $13.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Thronefall
2024
Est. copies
≈ 589k–957k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$12.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Defend The Keep
2019
Est. copies
≈ 547–889
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
19 reviews
Positive
ActionCasual
Conan Unconquered
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–87k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$294k–$792k after Steam's cut $535k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
StrategyRTS
The Last Defense
2022
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$109–$293 after Steam's cut $198–$450 before Steam's cut
$3.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
Eternal Elements
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58–94
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$160–$427 after Steam's cut $290–$657 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
StrategyDifficult
This is My Dungeon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$653–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$11.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Early AccessStrategy
Cascadence
2025
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $111–$253 before Steam's cut
$2.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
PhysicsDestruction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.