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How big is Death Roads: Tournament Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1k–2k
from 42 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death Roads: Tournament Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death Roads: Tournament Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 830k–5.7M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Death Roads: Tournament Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 830k–5.7M copies

≈ $8.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

我是熊孩子
2020
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
$1.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
IndieCasual
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Descenders
2019
Est. copies
≈ 694k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
SportsRacing
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Death Roads: Tournament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$355k before Steam's cut
$14.99
839 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Combat
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite

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