How much revenue did Talented make?

$62k–$166k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Talented sell?

Q: How many copies did Talented sell?

37k to 61k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–61k; $62k–$166k after Steam's cut $112k–$255k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Talented and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Talented's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–7.7M

best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)

Games like Talented

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–7.7M copies

≈ $18.1M–$60.2M after Steam's cut

from ~90k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 129k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
HoloCure - Save the Fans! 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Realm of the Mad God Exalt 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	48k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Enter the Gungeon 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	90k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Skul: The Hero Slayer 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	58k reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 2014	Est. copies ≈ 25.8M–41.9M 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	460k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Noita 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PhysicsRogue-like