How much revenue did Sephiria make?

$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sephiria sell?

Q: How many copies did Sephiria sell?

321k to 522k copies, based on its 13k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 321k–522k; $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut; from 13k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sephiria and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sephiria's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–75k

best case 710k (Death Must Die)

Games like Sephiria

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–75k copies

≈ $20k–$296k after Steam's cut

from ~810 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Death Must Die at ≈ 541k–879k copies, ≈ $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 513 reviews in their first month; the range was 59 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-lite (8 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $7.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Death Must Die 2023	Est. copies ≈ 541k–879k 27x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$6.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Spell Disk 2024	Est. copies ≈ 24k–39k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $100k–$269k after Steam's cut $182k–$413k before Steam's cut	$14.99	977 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeHack and Slash
God Of Weapons 2023	Est. copies ≈ 130k–212k 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $215k–$577k after Steam's cut $390k–$888k before Steam's cut	$5.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeInventory Management
Touhou: Gensokyo Survivors 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$0.99	223 reviews Very Positive	CasualAction Roguelike
Battle Grid 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6k–9k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut	$5.99	230 reviews Very Positive	MechsBullet Hell
Machick 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$6.99	244 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Nevergrind Online 2024	Est. copies ≈ 32k–53k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $142k–$382k after Steam's cut $259k–$588k before Steam's cut	$15.99	1k reviews Very Positive	RPGOnline Co-Op
Into the Necrovale 2024	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $66k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$271k before Steam's cut	$14.99	642 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeHack and Slash