How much revenue did Machick make?

$12k–$31k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Machick sell?

Q: How many copies did Machick sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 244 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut; from 244 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Machick and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Machick's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 75k–151k

best case 3.9M (Brotato)

Games like Machick

A typical game among these

≈ 75k–151k copies

≈ $163k–$368k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Brotato at ≈ 3.0M–4.8M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 409 to 42k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Survival + Horror + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
20 Minutes Till Dawn 2023	Est. copies ≈ 724k–1.2M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Brotato 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M 46x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut	$4.99	119k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-likeSingleplayer
FatalZone 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–92k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut	$6.99	2k reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Scarlet Tower 2024	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $81k–$219k after Steam's cut $148k–$337k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	VampireAction Roguelike
Nomad Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Atomicrops 2020	Est. copies ≈ 158k–256k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $649k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	6k reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Army of Ruin 2023	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$635k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
God Of Weapons 2023	Est. copies ≈ 130k–212k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $215k–$577k after Steam's cut $390k–$888k before Steam's cut	$5.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeInventory Management