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How many copies did Terminal 81 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 288 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Terminal 81 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Terminal 81's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.5M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Terminal 81

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.5M copies

≈ $21.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Cursed Baby
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
$3.99
10 reviews
Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Tostchu
2024
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$7.99
625 reviews
Very Positive

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