How much revenue did The Deadly Path make?

$9k–$24k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Deadly Path sell?

Q: How many copies did The Deadly Path sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 100 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut; from 100 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Deadly Path and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Deadly Path's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–225k

best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)

Games like The Deadly Path

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–225k copies

≈ $872k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Game (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 561 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Strategy + City Builder; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Army of Ruin 2023	Est. copies ≈ 70k–114k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $154k–$413k after Steam's cut $279k–$635k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Tainted Grail: Conquest 2021	Est. copies ≈ 208k–338k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	DeckbuildingCard Game
Thea: The Awakening 2015	Est. copies ≈ 184k–300k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRPG
Ib 2022	Est. copies ≈ 132k–215k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $860k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$12.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Throne of Lies®: Medieval Politics 2017	Est. copies ≈ 93k–151k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Mostly Positive	Social DeductionMultiplayer
Mind Over Magic 2025	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Survival Colony Sim
Sultan's Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 876k–1.4M 8.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RPGSimulation