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How many copies did I'm on Observation Duty 7 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
from 453 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid I'm on Observation Duty 7 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I'm on Observation Duty 7's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–4.8M
best case 4.6M (MiSide)
Games like I'm on Observation Duty 7

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–4.8M copies

≈ $16.6M–$40.0M after Steam's cut

from ~103k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: MiSide at ≈ 3.5M–5.8M copies, ≈ $14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Dark (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Story Rich, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
Free
143k reviews
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HorrorFree to Play
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure
DEVOUR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.