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How many copies did Carmen Sandiego sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
from 97 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Carmen Sandiego and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Carmen Sandiego's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 353k–842k
best case 3.1M (L.A. Noire)
Games like Carmen Sandiego

A typical game among these

≈ 353k–842k copies

≈ $2.9M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: L.A. Noire at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 75 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Detective (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Crime, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Escape Room - Der kranke Kollege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 312k–507k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFree to Play
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Operation: Tango
2021
Est. copies
≈ 222k–360k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpPuzzle
Enigma of Fear
2024
Est. copies
≈ 257k–417k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 273k–444k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.