How much revenue did Butcher's Creek make?

$114k–$307k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Butcher's Creek sell?

Q: How many copies did Butcher's Creek sell?

42k to 68k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–68k; $114k–$307k after Steam's cut $208k–$473k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Butcher's Creek and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Butcher's Creek's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 642k–691k

best case 11.3M (Ready or Not)

Games like Butcher's Creek

A typical game among these

≈ 642k–691k copies

≈ $7.5M–$16.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Ready or Not at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies, ≈ $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 143k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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